Special feature · 120th Congress
US Midterm tracker
Every House district and Senate race from the November 3, 2026 midterms, the majorities they add up to, and how economic sentiment before each election lines up with the result. Scroll the timeline back to 2004 to compare how seats and margins have moved over eleven elections.
Results updated October 31, 2026.
House2026 · live
Awaiting results
435 seats, all on the ballot. Polls: D leads 53, R leads 24 of 77 polled districts.
Senate2026 · live
Awaiting results
35 seats on the ballot, including 2 specials. Polls: D leads 15, R leads 11 of 26 polled races. The Vice President breaks a 50–50 tie.
Timeline · 2004 to 2026
One dot per House seat after each election. Democrats fill from the bottom, Republicans from the top; the ringed dot is the seat that decides control (218 for a majority).
- Democrat
- Republican
- Independent
- D leads, not called
- R leads, not called
- No polls, awaiting call
- Democrats
- –
- Republicans
- –
- Seats flipped
- –
- Won by under 5 pts
- –
- Median margin
- –
- 0 of 435 called
2026
Midterms · polling averages as of Oct 31, 2026, replaced by results as races are called
Economy and the vote
Economic mood before each election
The final pre-election Michigan survey for every cycle since 2004, set against how each chamber's margin moved. Hover a column for the numbers, or click it to move the map to that year.
Question
Compare by
| Year | Consumer sentiment |
|---|---|
| 2004 | 91.7 |
| 2006 | 93.6 |
| 2008 | 57.6 |
| 2010 | 67.7 |
| 2012 | 82.6 |
| 2014 | 86.9 |
| 2016 | 87.2 |
| 2018 | 98.6 |
| 2020 | 81.8 |
| 2022 | 59.9 |
| 2024 | 70.5 |
| 2026 | 48.1 |
- Democratic president
- Republican president
- Midterm
- Presidential year
Margin change at each election (%)
Shift in the Democratic minus Republican margin, as a share of all seats, versus the previous Congress (percentage points).
| Year | Margin change | Margin after election |
|---|---|---|
| 2004 | – | – |
| 2006 | – | – |
| 2008 | – | – |
| 2010 | – | – |
| 2012 | – | – |
| 2014 | – | – |
| 2016 | – | – |
| 2018 | – | – |
| 2020 | – | – |
| 2022 | – | – |
| 2024 | – | – |
| 2026 | – | – |
Midterm module: what respondents expect, 2022 vs 2026
Net share naming each party, all adults. Expectations, not vote intention.
- Expect to win the House
- 2022R+182026D+41
- Expect to win the Senate
- 2022R+112026D+12
- Better for the economy
- 2022R+162026D+36
- Better for my finances
- 2022R+152026D+30
Surveys of Consumers, Survey Research Center, University of Michigan. Copyright © 1946–2026 The Regents of the University of Michigan. Readings use the final October survey of each election year; for 2026 the detailed questions use September, as the October tables are not yet posted. Respondents are a national sample of adults, not likely voters. Michigan moved to web interviewing in 2024, which lowered levels and widened partisan gaps, so compare 2024 and 2026 with earlier years with care. Party splits are published for the sentiment index only, from 2006 (not asked in fall 2004 or 2014). Income, age, education, region and gender splits come from the same survey month and cover all five questions; income groups are thirds of the household income distribution.